Notes From the Desk are periodic posts that summarize recent topics of interest or other brief notable commentary that might otherwise be a tweet or note.
Trust nothing going forward
It is imperative to identify content sources you believe to be valuable now. Nothing new in the future will be credible. 2024 is going to be a wild ride of AI-generated content. We are never going to know what is real anymore.
There will be some number of real people who will probably replace themselves with AI content if they can make money from it. This will result in doubting real content. Everything becomes questionable and nothing will suffice as digital proof any longer.
Witnessing it yourself is the only validity, but we only personally witness a fraction of what affects our lives which will leave the rest a mystery.
Cylons/Replicants are going to likely become real within our lifetime. Robotics is picking up the same momentum as LLMs. At some point, people will question even what they see with their own eyes.
A core principle for everything going forward will be this:
Our understanding of what is happening will continue to lag further and further behind what is happening.
Some will make the argument “But isn’t this simply the same problems we already deal with today?”. It is; however, the ability to produce fake content is getting exponentially cheaper while the ability to detect fake content is not improving. As long as fake content was somewhat expensive, difficult to produce, and contained detectable digital artifacts, it at least could be somewhat managed.
Findings reveal that the AI detection tools were more accurate in identifying content generated by GPT 3.5 than GPT 4. However, when applied to human-written control responses, the tools exhibited inconsistencies, producing false positives and uncertain classifications.
And then we have this headline
The most reliable AI image detectors can be tricked by simply adding texture to an image — a worrying find as AI disinformation plagues the internet and threatens political campaigns
The goal of AI is to produce content and reason in the same way that humans do. It only would make sense that if AI is successful at improving towards these goals AI detection can only get worse. There seems to be no counterbalance for this evolution thus far.
No compass through the dark exists without hope of reaching the other side and the belief that it matters …